(First published in The Dominion Post on November28, though
you won’t find it on the paper’s website.)
Initial reaction to Andrew
Little’s election as Labour Party leader was mostly dismissive.
Critics pointed out that he
couldn’t win his home town seat of New Plymouth and was lucky to squeak back
into Parliament at all. They also made much of the fact that Little won the
leadership contest by the narrowest of margins and wasn’t the choice of his
fellow MPs.
We were repeatedly reminded
that without union support, Little’s bid would have failed – choice propaganda
material for the Right, given older New Zealanders’ memories of the damage done
by militant trade unionism in the 1970s and 80s.
Then there were the jibes
about Little being dour and humourless – a bit harsh, I thought, given that the
entire leadership contest was a personality-free zone.
But while all of these
criticisms were valid, it doesn’t necessarily follow that Labour under Little is
doomed to continue its slide into self-destruction and irrelevancy.
My view is that even if he
was elected by the skin of his teeth under a flawed process that gives too much
power to the unions, Labour ended up with the right leader.
True, he’s not exactly
charismatic, but neither was Helen Clark when she became Labour leader. She
went on to win three terms.
I first met Little when he
led the university students’ association in the late 1980s. I’ve had occasional
dealings with him since then and found him personable, direct and straight.
Those last two qualities in
particular are worth noting. Little doesn’t strike me as a man who seeks to
ingratiate himself with people by saying whatever he thinks his audience might
want to hear.
That sets him apart from his
predecessor, David Cunliffe, and I suspect from Grant Robertson too.
Cunliffe was notable for
talking tough in left-wing forums but then modifying his stance immediately
afterwards. He also brought ridicule on
himself for apologising to a women’s refuge audience for being a man.
As for Robertson, he always
seemed just a bit too keen to portray himself as one of the boys – a Kiwi bloke
who liked nothing more than a night at the pub watching the footy. I suspect
this was an over-reaction to the perception that people might be biased against
him because he was gay.
Politicians often don’t seem
to realise how transparent and calculating they look, but Little comes across
as authentic.
He comes from an unusual
background. His father, a former British Army major, was a National Party
stalwart who wrote trenchant letters to the papers, often on Middle East
issues.
Major Little had served in
the Middle East and was strongly pro-Palestinian – an unusual position for a
National Party man. The younger Little may have inherited some of his father’s
spirit even though they weren’t politically compatible.
Despite his union background,
he’s no ideologue. He’s grounded in the real world and can speak the language
of business people. I would suggest that
of the four leadership contenders, he was by far the best placed to appeal to
the centre ground.
He has made a good start with
a series of confident media performances, which wouldn’t surprise those who
know him, and a combative stance in the House.
His biggest challenge may not be reaching out to the country, but
winning the support of ideologues in his faction-ridden party.
A factor in Little’s favour
is that his mix of university education and union experience makes him ideally placed to bridge the gap
between the disparate wings of the party – the latte-drinking, liberal
inner-city dwellers on the one hand and the traditional blue-collar support
base on the other.
The natural electoral cycle
may work in his favour too. National governments are never less attractive than
when they assume the triumphalist, born-to-rule manner that sometimes comes
with third terms.
Besides, by 2017 New
Zealanders may decide it’s time the balance was tipped back in favour of
working people. Only last week, statistics confirmed that while the economy
continues to grow and business profits keep rising, employees are enjoying only
a small share of the gains.
This is a fair-minded
country, and it goes against the grain that corporate salaries have risen to
grotesque levels while wage earners struggle to keep up with the cost of living.
The balance of power in the
labour market has shifted radically. The trade union tyranny which New Zealand
experienced a generation ago is no longer the risk. A much bigger problem now
is corporate tyranny and arrogance.
It follows that the prospect
of a Little-led Labour government may not be quite as far-fetched as it first
seems.