(First published in The Dominion Post, October 2.)
Jeremy Corbyn, the recently elected leader of the British
Labour Party, has been described as a throwback to 1970s-style socialism. He
even looks like one, his face being adorned with what one commentator described
as a 1960s political beard.
You could describe him as the accidental leader. When his
name was put forward, few people took his bid seriously.
His 32 years in Parliament were distinguished only by his
record of voting against his own party whenever it deviated from cloth-cap leftist
orthodoxy.
But the trade unions got behind him, party activists signed
up tens of thousands of new members – mostly young, earnest and radical – and before you
could hum the first bar of The Red Flag,
Corbyn was the new leader.
I blame Tony Blair. Corbyn’s prospects must have been
enormously enhanced the moment Blair warned the party against electing him.
The former Labour prime minister is widely despised, and
deservedly so – not just for getting involved in the Iraq war on spurious
grounds, but for his fondness for hobnobbing with people like the odious Silvio Berlusconi
and his shameless money-grubbing since leaving Downing Street.
The term Blairite, which once stood for a “third way”
between the extremes of doctrinaire socialism and ruthless capitalism, is now
toxic – so much so that Blair’s disapproval of Corbyn must have virtually
ensured his success.
The new leader certainly didn’t win the contest on the basis
of his charisma. He’s a dreary grey Marxist. Even Labour insiders say his
election has set the party back years.
For all that, I can understand why Labour members decided to
give Corbyn a go. He stands for something.
His ideas might be barmy, but they seem sincerely held.
What’s more, he appears to have been consistently barmy for more than three
decades. As far as we can tell, he hasn’t wavered from his principles.
In other words, he personifies the politics of conviction –
a rare phenomenon in an era when politics is largely driven by focus groups, PR
spin, the news cycle and opinion polls.
Unfortunately for Corbyn, this otherwise admirable quality
is likely to be useless as a vote-winner.
Conviction politics tends to be a dead-end street. Just look
at the Green Party, apparently doomed forever to languish on the political
fringes (although commentators have recently detected a diluting of its
ideological purity), or Act at the other end of the political spectrum – a
party grimly hanging on thanks to a dodgy electoral accommodation with
National.
Look too at the hapless Tony Abbott, a conviction politician
but a disastrously inept one.
Successful politicians are those who take a pragmatic centre
line, such as John Key.
We don’t have a clue what Key’s values are. He’s never
really told us.
Does he have a non-negotiable bottom line on anything? I
couldn’t say. Does he have any fire in his belly? Not that we’ve seen.
Norman Kirk had fire in his belly. So did David Lange and
even Robert Muldoon, although in Muldoon’s case the flames were often dark and
malevolent.
But not Key. He represents a breed of bland centrist
politicians who tack in whichever direction is expedient.
On some crucial issues – gay marriage, parental smacking – he
jettisoned traditional values that a centre-right party such as National might
have been expected to uphold. But he got away with it, and he’s won three
elections in a row.
His admirer Malcolm Turnbull, the new Australian prime
minister, seems cast in a similar mould, as does Britain’s bloodless David
Cameron.
Barack Obama’s idealistic supporters in 2008 thought he was
a conviction politician, but in office he has disappointed them. That’s
politics for you.
What’s interesting now is that the main threat to Hillary
Clinton’s bid to win the Democratic Party nomination for the presidency, which
until recently was thought a sure thing, seems to be coming from a little-known
Vermont senator named Bernie Sanders.
Clinton is a conviction politician only in the sense that
she’s convinced of her entitlement to office. Sanders, on the other hand, is a
genuine conviction politician and that rarest of creatures, an American
socialist.
Both Sanders and Corbyn have gained traction partly because
of a growing public distaste for entrenched political elites (which has given Donald
Trump momentum too), but also because of a growing perception – and not just on
the left – that capitalism has been hijacked by the greedy ultra-rich.
They won’t win, of course. But at least they remind us of
what politics used to be about.
The left quite like not winning but being suitable pure and staying well to the left of electable and that looks the way that they are going in the UK. Jeremy Corbyn has almost nothing going for him - he isn't a good speaker at all - notice his timing in his speeches which is just totally wrong. He may be a conviction politician but he will be defeated by a massive margin at the polls- if he makes it that far.
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